HOW DO YOU SOLVE A PROBLEM LIKE THE DONALD?

The current issue with the President Elect can be solved quite easily, appropriately enough given the President Elect's background, by making a deal.

 

WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH TRUMP?

 

The Intelligence Community ("IC") is being uncharacteristically aggressive in dealing with the issue arising from Trump's apparent ties with Putin's Russia and the apparently untoward influence this may giveMr. Putin over Mr. Trump. 

 

The IC tends to be conservative.  They tend not to "buck" what the Executive Branch wants, as seen, for example, with the unwillingness of the IC to seriously challenge the Bush Administration's contention that Baathist Iraq had Weapons of Mass Destruction ("WMDs") in 2003.

 

In this case, the IC is underscoring these ties in an unclassified document.  As it is unclassified, the sources and methods (in essence, the evidence) are omitted.  Never the less, the IC has published this, knowing that it puts them into a "war" with the incoming President, the IC's ultimate "consumer." 

 

Some of the "leaked" materials indicate that Trump's businesses are VERY dependent on Russian "investment" and that Trump may have been "honey-trapped."   The KGB, the old Soviet Ministry for State Security, in which Russia's Putin served as a case officer, used to have an acronym for the methods used to recruit agents: MISE (Money; Ideology; Sex; and Envy), all of which (with the exclusion of "Ideology') are known to be part of the President Elect's public persona.

 

The fact that certain information about Trump's financial ties to the Russians and his apparent sexual activity while in Russia has been "leaked" can be assessed to mean there is a fair degree of confidence that the information is credible.  The IC, which makes a living weighing risks, is unlikely to pick a fight it can't win.

 

If this is the case, what can be done?

 

LET'S MAKE A DEAL!

 

I suggest the following:

 

1) Trump and Pence resign prior to the Inauguration next week;

 

2)  Trump and Pence, in consideration of their resignation, will be pardoned for anything they did or may have done in connection with the 2016 Election;

 

3) At the same time, Mrs. Clinton will be pardoned for anything she did or may have done with regards to the server or the Clinton Family Foundation;

 

4) Since there is no longer a President Elect, Speaker Ryan will become President by operation of law; and

 

5) Ryan, in consideration of his becoming President and in order to facilitate civil cohesion, will agree to:

 

a) replace PPACA if it is repealed;

 

b) not seek the Presidency in 2020; and

 

b) may rescind any Obama Administration executive orders or Agreements EXCEPT  

 

1. the Iranian Deal; and

 

2. the executive orders protecting the "Dreamers" (people brought to the US illegally as children). 

 

CONCLUSION

 

.The IC's actions are uncharacteristic, which indicates this is a potentially serious problem.  However, if everyone can align their competing self-interests, this matter could have a fairly simple resolution.

      

Comments

Mike Haluska Added Jan 11, 2017 - 8:23pm
Don't you all feel like TOTAL FRAKKIN' MORONS after falling for yet ANOTHER FAKE NEWS STORY from the mainstream media????
Jeffry Gilbert Added Jan 12, 2017 - 12:12am
DUHmerica is clearly a much more terrible place to "live" than was previously thought.
 
I heartened by this revelation because it signals the collapse is nearer than I had hoped. 
Tamara Wilhite Added Jan 12, 2017 - 5:08pm
The same administration that politicized the IRS to use it to leak personal files and audit political enemies have politicized the intelligence community. That is why this BS report has been given a veneer of legitimacy and then salaciously gossiped, though with just enough legal cover of "we can't verify it" and "we can't say it is true so you do".
John Minehan Added Jan 13, 2017 - 1:26pm
The problem is that Trump has tendencies (which he has not hidden) that make him an ideal target for HUMINT exploitation: he has questionable  financial dealings; a tendency to extra-marital dalliances (such as those that ended his first marriage); a tendency towards envy of rivals (such as the tweet about Schwarzenegger and The Apprentice); and an ego that would make him unwilling to be called on any of this.
 
Additionally, the IC is a very conservative institution; that is why for example the IC (as a whole) missed the read on the Fall of the Wall and the end of the USSR.  It is more concerned with not being wrong than it is with being right.  The IC does NOT "go out on a limb."
 
For the IC, bucking a US President is as far out on the limb as it gets.  POTUS is the IC's ultimate consumer.  POTUS nominates the heads of these agencies.  Yet, they are clearly bucking Trump.
 
In very simple terms, "There is trouble in River City."  Now would be the best time to resolve the issue in a quick and expedient way.  
John Minehan Added Jan 13, 2017 - 1:42pm
"Don't you all feel like TOTAL FRAKKIN' MORONS after falling for yet ANOTHER FAKE NEWS STORY from the mainstream media????"
 
It's not fake news. 
 
The IC briefed Pres. Obama and Mr.  Trump at the beginning of the year on a classified dossier on Mr. Trump (although Mr. Trump denies such a briefing took place). 
 
There is an unconfirmed  story floating around about Trump's financial dealing with questionable Russian entities being how he avoided a general Chapter 7 dissolution in the 1990s and about Trump being "honey trapped" during visits to Russia over the years being elements of the dossier.
 
I have no knowledge of any classified information.
 
However, there has been talk for years that Trump's avoidance of dissolution of his businesses for the benefit of his creditors was due to "Black Money" of some kind.  The Russians (like the Soviets before them) were known to attempt to honey trap visiting VIPs and officials. 
 
Thus, as salacious as reports of "golden showers" may appear, there is nothing beyond apparent credibility.  All of it comports both with known Russian (and, before that, Soviet) tradecraft and Mr. Trump's public persona.  Additionally, while none of this appears to be beyond Mr. Trump's public image, all of it seems like things Mr. Trump's famously thin skin would not allow him to have widely known, making him an even better target for exploitation.
 
This is a significant problem that should be addressed in the near term.   
Autumn Cote Added Jan 13, 2017 - 3:50pm
Please note, the best way to draw more attention to your work is to comment on the work of others.
John Minehan Added Jan 14, 2017 - 9:55am
 
I'm told people actually used the former.  ("Hey, can I get 5 of these in an 8-by10 format?")
Bill H. Added Jan 14, 2017 - 11:48am
Here is a link to the actual declassified version of the Intelligence Community report showing that Putin ordered the operation to get Trump elected (notice that it is an actual Government web site and not something from a "fake news" blog site):
https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/ICA_2017_01.pdf
Yes, as I have always stated, Trump's only objective is himself and his empire. I think the nation will find this out when it is too late.
John Minehan Added Jan 14, 2017 - 12:25pm
Maybe (given the divestiture issue suddenly being raised), we won't find out.  That could give him cover to opt out and be pardoned.
John Minehan Added Jan 14, 2017 - 12:28pm
In Germany in the 1980s, every other person with a Wurst Wagon was some kind of low level source.
 
You haven't lived until you sit on a FIFT track watching a tank platoon ring the "Gut Truck" in steel.  So sorry "Parzburg Annie."
George N Romey Added Jan 14, 2017 - 3:26pm
I think that most Americans are totally over the entire "Russia thing" and see it only as a bunch of super spies pissing on each other.  The United States does all kinds of lousy things worldwide and so does Russia.  Its like watching two thieves argue over who is the most honorable.
 
What Americans care about is will Trump turn this total bullshit false economy back into a real, sustainable economy that benefits Americans willing to work for financial success.  If he does, no one will give a friendless f#@ck over whose Russian "pussy" he might be grabbing.  If he doesn't in a relatively short period of time, Americans will turn on him and he will become the worst President in the history of the United States, knocking Obama out of the post.
John Minehan Added Jan 14, 2017 - 4:02pm
I think the issue is how many "degrees of freedom" Trump will have while serving as POTUS.  I think the ring is tightening . . . .
John Minehan Added Jan 14, 2017 - 6:59pm
Sorry "FIST Track."  "Parzburg Annie was a nice old German lady who served very good currywurst, bratwurst, pommes frits w/mayo and schnitzel sandwiches who was also apparently a low level source.
 
During an exercise in '85 everyone in 3d BDE was told to pick her up.  The C/3-32 AR XO got a little  . . . enthusiastic.  
John Minehan Added Jan 14, 2017 - 7:01pm
She served the food off a little truck w/ a kitchen, she was a big part of going to Graf and HTA through the rail head at Parzburg . . . before Fall of '85
John Minehan Added Jan 14, 2017 - 7:46pm
Actually, it worked better than it did in the 1980s, when the standards were higher but officers didn't let NCOs run things!  It balanced out in the 1990s, like it is probably starting to do about now.
John Minehan Added Jan 14, 2017 - 10:04pm
"And Disrupt Balls??" 
 
OH!  You mean like the dances  . . .!!!
Dr. Rupert Green Added Jan 15, 2017 - 6:05am
Framing the discussion with the premise the Donald is a problem is biased or limiting?
John Minehan Added Jan 15, 2017 - 7:34am
"Framing the discussion with the premise the Donald is a problem is biased or limiting?"
 
It could be.
 
On the other hand, it also seems likely to be true and someone needs to be thinking about what to do about it and I wrote this to encourage people to do so.
 
Think of it as hedging against the worst case or an Andy Groves of Intel used to say, "Only the paranoid survive," 
Dino Manalis Added Jan 15, 2017 - 8:35am
There needs to be a balance between warning Moscow and Beijing against aggression and working with them on global challenges, including the campaign against terrorism.  Hacking has unfortunately become too common and it needs to be stopped.  Cyber security should be considered part of our national security!
Dr. Rupert Green Added Jan 15, 2017 - 9:33am
In regards to your wheeling and dealing, what do you say to the publics who saw hope in Trump's victory? Surely ,the losers who are now up in arms on the streets would be gleeful. But would your approach not put a different set of individuals, who are more likely to be pack heat, up in arms on the streets?   
John Minehan Added Jan 15, 2017 - 9:44am
"But would your approach not put a different set of individuals, who are more likely to be pack heat, up in arms on the streets?"
 
If this is as bad as it appears to be, this might be the only way to avoid blood on the streets.
 
If Trump is compromised and he can't serve, it would be better if he opted out than if he were impeached, something that could wind up looking like the Trial of Charles I or the Divorce of Queen Caroline.
 
It also might not be the worst thing to have an interregnum under the anodyne Paul Ryan to let emotions settle. 
Dr. Rupert Green Added Jan 15, 2017 - 10:07am
OK. The Russians have picture of Trump having sex in a heretofore unseen position.  We could safely extrapolate it was with a not-man.
If the American people are aware of same, how would the Russian's gray mail of Trump be effective? Let say it was with a not-woman, how shocking would it be to Americans who possibly/constantly see such friskiness/naughtiness/alternative life style interactions on TV in prime time?  I only envision the power over Trump if he is embarrassed and wants the Russians to keep his activities down under (the cover).
At worse, the Russians could have the goods on him pulling a Caligula on Incitatus.  What shock/ gray mail-able value would that be to want him to resign?  Then of course, talk of his small fingers may have forced him to pull a Wiener (Anthony) to prove him manhood, and if the Russians have such goods on him, like it sunk Wiener, it could similarly sink him. 
John Minehan Added Jan 15, 2017 - 10:50am
"If the American people are aware of same, how would the Russian's gray mail of Trump be effective?"
 
Trump's personality. 
 
Based on the evidence, he would have trouble admitting both: 1) that  he had been caught; and 2) that he "had to pay for it." 
 
Think of this like the old Soviet agents getting an FOUO USAEUR telephone book from some DA Civilian or soldier who then did not want to report the contact.  Your control of the subject is worthwhile only if he (it was usually "he") is NOT caught, you can then manipulate his fear of being caught to your advantage.
 
The finances are also of a piece; if he is not a billionaire (if his assets exceed his liabilities and the Russian Federation [or aliened groups] hold the liens) then two of the justifications for his elections just evaporated: his business acumen and his independence.
 
This could be a serious problem.
 
If what appears to be true IS true, Trump's beat option is to resign citing the difficulty of separating himself from his companies after 40 years of "making himself the brand."  He (and if Pence, if he also resigns) can then be quietly pardoned.
 
That would bring the anodyne Paul Ryan to the Presidency by operation of law.
 
After this disruptive and turbulent election year, four years with Ryan, a knowledgeable insider,      could heal a lot of wounds, especially if he were to state early on that he would not run in 2020.   
Dr. Rupert Green Added Jan 15, 2017 - 3:50pm
"ased on the evidence, he would have trouble admitting both: 1) that  he had been caught; and 2) that he "had to pay for it."  
 
I see.
Patrick Writes Added Jan 15, 2017 - 7:05pm
This has all been debunked. 
schadenfreude Added Jan 15, 2017 - 8:53pm
I was ok with Ryan until he started talking! As far as the IC: Really poor strategy from purportedly smart people.