The Biggest ‘Change’ for 2018!

The world we live in continues to change, as it always has and always will. Life is change, as when change stops, we die.  (Physically, mentally, and emotionally)

 

Now coping with change is something that varies from person to person or from group to group. Over time, the individuals, species, or the packs within species, who best adapted to change, tended to survive.  

Our species, homo sapiens tend to divide into three segments (psychologically speaking) when it comes to accepting ‘change’.

  1. The first are the ‘early adopters’; those who buy the latest gadgets or are quickest to jump on a new thought or idea.
  2. The large middle ground, this is where for example a fashion trend reaches what Malcolm Gladwell refers to as “The Tipping Point”, and becomes part of accepted and common thought and behavior.
  3. The ‘laggards’; those who tend to hang on to traditional thought, far beyond rationality.

 

The biggest ‘change’ in 2018, will not be something brand new, but a general acceptance of a concept by the ‘large middle ground’, which will cascade into so many other areas, causing massive change in the way we think. And that is driver-less automobiles.

Increasingly people will get over the “you will never see me get in one of those” thinking. And when that happens our brains will start to get ‘aha’s’, as to what is going to happen, and we will start to think why not sooner vs later?  

The biggest ‘aha’ for me, came when I realized IF we were a totally driver-less society, that deaths from auto accidents would be reduced to virtually 0. And I also started to understand the technology behind automated vehicles which is not only GPS guided, but also reliant on the cameras to avoid collisions. We can see some of these features built into the latest cars’ camera technology today. In the fall of 2018, Audi is set to release the first commercial vehicle to achieve Level 3 autonomy, meaning it can drive itself while monitoring its surroundings, in what could become a closely watched test case for self-driving vehicles.

However, it is not the commercial release of the closest yet to a driver-less car, it is the acceptance of the concept by the ‘large middle ground’, that will be the tipping point to accepting other related changes in the thinking of humankind. 

  • Logic starts to prevail, and we realize that most of the cars in existence, are sitting idle. It is just not efficient in the big scheme of things and one starts to think how much of our disposable income is spent on the car.
  • We start to realize that by using the sharing economy more, we could reduce the amount of money we spend on transportation. Simply trying Uber instead of a conventional cab company opens our thinking to what is possible. (when we see how much cheaper it is) We then check out air b&b and so on and so on…..
  • As we become more comfortable doing things online, like saving us a trip to the mall by having Amazon deliver that item, OR buying a recycled item from kijiji. We start to ask ourselves if we really need a brand-new item, if we can save a few hundred dollars on a slightly used one?
  • This leads into the final cascade of thinking change for 2018, which is the concept of minimalism. Where we start to ask ourselves how much stuff do we really need to survive happily. The concept of happiness starts to be redefined, and popular culture starts to shift away from the “he who dies with the most toys wins” mentality.

 

Now I do understand that the ‘laggards’ will say that all of this is just a pipe dream, and that our true nature is one of resistance, violence and basically you either kill or be killed. And the laggards can slow changes down, which causes all of us pain and suffering in the end. They do this by perpetrating fear, which is the opposite of the peaceful existence we were all meant to have.  Fear causes anxiety leading to physical and mental illness.

Let us not allow the irrational thinking patterns of the laggards, to slow down a more peaceful existence of humankind. It will happen as we:

  1. Stop living in the past.
  2. Start living in the now.
  3. Continue to learn and grow, based on changing information on how the world works. 

Comments

Tubularsock Added Dec 29, 2017 - 12:12pm
Stephen, so true. The present moment is all there ever is but future and past thinking usually occupies our minds and we miss what is right in front of us to enjoy.
 
The less crap we buy and have to maintain is the road to freedom from stuff. And the biggest shift has to be ..... you are not your stuff!
Nor does it count for who you really happen to be.
 
Great post!
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 29, 2017 - 12:22pm
Thanks Tubular!  and I am no different then most are or have been at some time. Used to puff my chest up, while driving my big new car around in my hometown, proving to others that i am "doing well". Not good however we learn and move forward!
Tubularsock Added Dec 29, 2017 - 12:30pm
Stephen, Tubularsock also recognizes the outward expressions of "doing well" however many don't learn and move on as you know BUT when one does the world shifts accordingly. It is the nature of change! Cheers.
opher goodwin Added Dec 29, 2017 - 12:41pm
Stephen - a very clear vision. I don't think we're far away. They are weaning us on the idea of a driverless car by bringing in all manner of automated features - headlights, wipers, parking. Once we've accepted that they work well we'll be ready for the big leap.
Having a few cars down the street that you can summon up when required will change society drastically.
An exciting vision.
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 29, 2017 - 12:42pm
Some call this, the outside world of form, which is actually an illusion of consciousness. Our true real self exists within, and is connected to the collective consciousness of the universe. When we allow fear driven by ego, to disrupt the connection, disease and disharmony happen. 
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 29, 2017 - 12:45pm
I agree Opher, it will be exciting and once you do the Uber thing and follow the car to your house on your phone, it all becomes real. 
Tubularsock Added Dec 29, 2017 - 12:57pm
Stephen, Tubularsock couldn't agree with you more. That is what disease is all about ..... dis-ease. The system is rigged and somewhere along the line "we" (mankind) have been pointed in the incorrect direction.
 
We need to go INWARD not OUTWARD!
Wendy Skorupski Added Dec 29, 2017 - 2:19pm
I like your final three points, which I am determined to try and follow in the coming year! As to cars - I wish there were more people like me around, who by choice do NOT own a car (despite having a driver's license). Public transport, taxis, and my own legs have so far sufficed in my own life. 
Dino Manalis Added Dec 29, 2017 - 2:31pm
Automated vehicles need to become safer and reliable so anyone can use them.  However, something new will appear, like passenger drones for people to avoid traffic and the airport.
opher goodwin Added Dec 29, 2017 - 6:27pm
Dino - I think the automated cars are safe enough - but you can't legislate for mindless human drivers. Until all cars are driverless we will have accidents. Driverless are far safer than human driven cars.
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 29, 2017 - 6:40pm
Good one Tubular, so many do not know that this is exactly the meaning of the term. We seem to have put Healthcare in some sort of scientific bucket that only the experts and the drugs they provide and surgery they can conduct, will cure and make us better. That notion is changing fast though too. 
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 29, 2017 - 6:42pm
You will do it Wendy, just being aware is a very good start. 
Don't you miss the cost of car payments, insurance, maintenance, parking..... :)
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 29, 2017 - 6:48pm
Dino, i was pretty amazed when I saw how safe they are, or can be with a bit more development, but the basics are there. However as Opher points out, the human driver increases the odds of an accident occurring so the trick is to get rid of human drivers. Imagine never having to worry about drinking and driving ever again. 
opher goodwin Added Dec 30, 2017 - 4:53am
Stephen - I think there will be a while yet before people are ready. We love to drive so much we don't just see it as a mode of transport. It is our little enclave - a home from home. But that will change. It is the future.
Stone-Eater Added Dec 30, 2017 - 4:54am
Stephen
 
I'm against IOT, and that includes driverless cars. Why ? I'm in IT and know what bugs in software are and to which extent surveillance is possible.
 
Not all new things are necessarily better ;-)
 
 
Stone-Eater Added Dec 30, 2017 - 4:55am
Giving up privacy for comfort is a dangerous thing.
opher goodwin Added Dec 30, 2017 - 7:13am
Stone - I agree with that. Our lives are no longer private. We are being organised by algorithms. But I see ownership of cars an unnecessary luxury. The future looks interesting. Shared cars and driverless delivery will take off. It just makes sense. Why have cars sitting idle most of the time? Why have streets cluttered with parking? I think cheapness and ease will win out. You simply order your car and its there in a minute. It drops you off and goes. Simple.
I'll miss driving and my own car but I won't miss big bills and the inconvenience.
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 30, 2017 - 7:40am
Opher totally agree this is not an overnite gamechanger, and how long it takes depends on how many obstacles get thrown in the way. The big change will be that enough of the middle majority will shift their thinking to; it is possible and will happen, just a matter of how quickly. 
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 30, 2017 - 7:43am
Stone that is a very interesting angle.  I guess one could order a car from a rented cell phone? But can't "they" track us anyway if we have a cellphone on our person? 
George N Romey Added Dec 30, 2017 - 8:46am
Assuming millennials don’t change their habits we will move more towards renters and one car families. Most of this is being economically driven. The only area I see spending to remain healthy is technology and even that will become more priced sensitive. It should be interesting to see just how many people she’ll out a grand for the IPhone X.
 
Over time the traditional brick and mortar department style store will lose considerable ground. Americans will simply not need these huge dinosaurs to get a wide range of products. The new Amazon concept store that uses technology over employees will take over.
Stone-Eater Added Dec 30, 2017 - 9:08am
Stephen
 
But can't "they" track us anyway if we have a cellphone on our person? 
 
Sure they can. Even when your phone is shut down it transmits due to the battery installed.
 
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/nov/22/google-track-android-users-location-services-turned-off-sim
 
http://techpp.com/2013/08/22/track-phone-turned-off/
 
And this is NOT new. USB sticks have hard-coded open ports, as have laptops, pads or any digital gadget that can go online.
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 30, 2017 - 9:17am
George this is so true! How we procure goods and services is changing rapidly, and quite frankly it is more efficient, even from a Green perspective. 
Jobs will shift for sure. How do you feel about Direct Marketing or network marketing type business models? I think these have legs as they involve a human or educational component, which cannot be replaced by an algorithm. 
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 30, 2017 - 9:20am
Stone, that is what I thought. So as most of us are connected somehow anyway, does it really matter that "they" can track us in the car we call up on our cellphone, to take us some place we need to be? 
Stone-Eater Added Dec 30, 2017 - 9:50am
Stephen
 
The problem is not only the surveillance which happens through a hidden camera in your TV or, soon to come, in your fridge which tells you which food lacks.
 
The problem is also "big data is money" - and you give it out for free already - on FB, LI, or wherever on "social media". Means that's why some IT guys are billionaires and you're not LOL
 
In future you don't need a house alarm anymore, because "they" know what you consume, where you go - and finally what you THINK. And I'm not paranoid.
opher goodwin Added Dec 30, 2017 - 10:46am
Stephen - I think that there are a number of factors that will drive it - at least in cities. Uber has set a new precedent. It has made taxi service cheap and easy. Take that a stage further with a cheaper driverless car and more people will use it. Throw in all the delivery of parcels and the whole mentality will rapidly change. I'm not so sure about rural areas though.
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 30, 2017 - 11:01am
Stone i sort of take the attitude that i don' care what others think of me, so listen in, watch me go to the bathroom- whatever- BUT I will not cower in FEAR. 
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 30, 2017 - 11:03am
Opher, it will happen in stages and rural areas will be last, however the technology works just as well there. I can see cordoning off large sections of major cities for driverless only, within the next 5 years. 
opher goodwin Added Dec 30, 2017 - 3:29pm
Stephen - that might well happen. I think the rural model doesn't lend itself to car sharing as well.
Dave Volek Added Dec 30, 2017 - 8:54pm
Going from history, it will take about 20 years to work through the transition.
 
At first, automobiles were only an oddity in the streets. Horses and buggies ran the roads. Then when traffic got be 20% cars, some horses were too spooked and had to be culled. As consumer preferred jumping into a car and just going--as opposed to preparing a horse for travel, cars became more popular.
 
Horses were finally banned from streets around 1925 ostensibly because the two modes of travel could not work together very well. But the real truth was that many people were glad that the streets were no longer full of horse poop and pee.
 
 
Stone-Eater Added Dec 31, 2017 - 5:17am
Stephen
 
i sort of take the attitude that i don' care what others think of me
 
Me neither. But it doesn't stay there. There might come action after - be it because of your political POV on unsocial media or simply by what you buy and which friends you have.
 
Wehret den Anfängen ! said the Germans in 1932. But they didn't.
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 31, 2017 - 9:15am
Good analogy Dave! I am thinking about 20 years as well. But do hope that 'the greedy controllers' do not try and scare people into rejecting the concept. It will be disruptive, but back to your analogy, let us not subsidize buggy-whip factories, just to keep people working at a dead end job! 
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 31, 2017 - 9:18am
Opher, there will also be a much slower acceptance in rural areas,  because in general, the rural population tends to be well, more 'laggardly'- no disrespect meant but just sayin.
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 31, 2017 - 9:20am
Stone, we do need to be vigilant I agree. Those with the best of intentions as political leaders do seem to slip into a different state once they gain control. "Absolute power corrupts absolutely". 
Stone-Eater Added Dec 31, 2017 - 10:19am
Stephen
 
Those with the best of intentions as political leaders do seem to slip into a different state once they gain control.
 
Human character set apparently. But there's exceptions, although they never get too far. They're cut short or, worse, are killed, because their interest touches on the wealth of others....
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 31, 2017 - 12:21pm
Mahatma Gandhi would be one of those exceptions;
"In a gentle way, you can shake the world."
Stone-Eater Added Dec 31, 2017 - 1:42pm
"In a gentle way, you can shake the world."
 
When you have enough followers. The danger is then that suddenly you have created a sect or, even worse, a religion (-> see Christianity, Islam for more on controlling thoughts and actions ;-)
Stephen Hunter Added Dec 31, 2017 - 4:28pm
Stone it is not the religions themselves that get us in trouble, it is the "collective ego" of the religion/sect/fraternity which evolves as humans create a protective shield around their beliefs out of fear of persecution. It is a pack animal survivalist instinct at the core. Problem is that the collective ego or your individual ego will cause problems by overriding logical thought, so the people in those "packs" get held back from making progress and learning new things. 
opher goodwin Added Dec 31, 2017 - 5:33pm
Stephen - you are right. There is a more conservative attitude in rural areas. I think the cities are exposed to more change; it fires people up and opens their minds.
Stephen Hunter Added Jan 1, 2018 - 8:46am
Opher, that is true just because of exposure to other "packs", for example at work where we get to know someone from another "sect" and we realize they are just people like us, and the barriers start to come down. 
Isolation = NOT GOOD for humanity.
opher goodwin Added Jan 1, 2018 - 3:17pm
Stephen I agree. We are creatures of habit and if we're not careful the habits become a rut. We need challenge to push back boundaries. Seeing other people's point of view widens horizons.

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